AFL of the week: A simple Crude Oil Trading Strategy

On our reader’s demand, we have developed a Simple strategy to trade on Crude Oil futures in MCX. This is a Trend following swing trading strategy which takes positions on daily timeframe. Bollinger Bands is used as an indicator to determine Trend breakout. The number of trades generated using this strategy is very low which makes it easier to trade. However, max drawdown is on a little higher side, so risk management is necessary. This Crude oil Trading Strategy is specifically developed for beginners in commodity markets. Read below for the strategy overview and AFL details.

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AFL Overview

AFL Code

//------------------------------------------------------
//
//  Formula Name:    Crude Oil Trading Startegy
//  Author/Uploader: Trading Tuitions
//  E-mail:          support@tradingtuitions.com
//  Website:         www.tradingtuitions.com
//------------------------------------------------------

_SECTION_BEGIN("Crude Oil Trading Startegy");

SetChartOptions(0,chartShowArrows|chartShowDates);
_N(Title = StrFormat("{{NAME}} – {{INTERVAL}} {{DATE}} Open %g, Hi %g, Lo %g, Close %g (%.1f%%) {{VALUES}}", O, H, L, C, SelectedValue( ROC( C, 1 ) ) ));

//Initial Parameters
SetTradeDelays( 1, 1, 1, 1 );
SetOption( "InitialEquity", 200000);
SetOption("FuturesMode" ,True);
SetOption("MinShares",1);
SetOption("CommissionMode",2);
SetOption("CommissionAmount",100);
SetOption("AccountMargin",10);
SetOption("RefreshWhenCompleted",True);
SetPositionSize(50,spsPercentOfEquity);
SetOption( "AllowPositionShrinking", True );
BuyPrice=Open;
SellPrice=Open;
ShortPrice=Open;
CoverPrice=Open;

Plot( Close, "Price", colorWhite, styleCandle );
Periods = param("Periods", 40, 5, 100, 5 );
Width = param("Width", 1, 1, 10, 1 );
Color = ParamColor("Color", colorLightGrey );
Style = ParamStyle("Style", styleLine | styleNoLabel ) | styleNoLabel;
Plot( bbt = BBandTop( Close, Periods, Width ), "BBTop" + _PARAM_VALUES(), Color, Style ); 
Plot( bbb = BBandBot( Close, Periods, Width ), "BBBot" + _PARAM_VALUES(), Color, Style ); 
PlotOHLC( bbt, bbt, bbb, bbb, "", ColorBlend( Color, GetChartBkColor(), 0.8 ), styleNoLabel | styleCloud | styleNoRescale, Null, Null, Null, -1 );

Buy=Close>=BBandTop( Close, Periods, Width );
Short=Close<=BBandBot( Close, Periods, Width );
Sell=Short;
Cover=Buy;

Buy = ExRem(Buy,Sell);
Sell = ExRem(Sell,Buy);
Short=ExRem(Short,Cover);
Cover=ExRem(Cover,Short);

printf("\nBuy : " + Buy );  
printf("\nSell : " + Sell );  
printf("\nShort : " + Short );  
printf("\nCover : " + Cover );  

Stoploss=Optimize("SL",1,1,5,1);

ApplyStop(Type=0,Mode=1,Amount=StopLoss);

/* Plot Buy and Sell Signal Arrows */
PlotShapes(IIf(Buy, shapeSquare, shapeNone),colorGreen, 0, L, Offset=-40);
PlotShapes(IIf(Buy, shapeSquare, shapeNone),colorLime, 0,L, Offset=-50);
PlotShapes(IIf(Buy, shapeUpArrow, shapeNone),colorWhite, 0,L, Offset=-45);
PlotShapes(IIf(Cover, shapeSquare, shapeNone),colorGreen, 0, L, Offset=-40);
PlotShapes(IIf(Cover, shapeSquare, shapeNone),colorLime, 0,L, Offset=-50);
PlotShapes(IIf(Cover, shapeUpArrow, shapeNone),colorWhite, 0,L, Offset=-45);
PlotShapes(IIf(Sell, shapeSquare, shapeNone),colorRed, 0, H, Offset=40);
PlotShapes(IIf(Sell, shapeSquare, shapeNone),colorOrange, 0,H, Offset=50);
PlotShapes(IIf(Sell, shapeDownArrow, shapeNone),colorWhite, 0,H, Offset=-45);
PlotShapes(IIf(Short, shapeSquare, shapeNone),colorRed, 0, H, Offset=40);
PlotShapes(IIf(Short, shapeSquare, shapeNone),colorOrange, 0,H, Offset=50);
PlotShapes(IIf(Short, shapeDownArrow, shapeNone),colorWhite, 0,H, Offset=-45);


PlotGrid(0, colorLightGrey);
PlotGrid(25, colorLightGrey);
PlotGrid(-25, colorLightGrey);
_SECTION_END();

AFL Screenshot

Backtest Report

This Crude Oil Trading strategy has little higher drawdown figures. But it would be always profitable on the long term. Download the detailed backtest report here.

Equity Curve

Additional Amibroker settings for backtesting

Goto Symbol-->Information, and specify the lot size and margin requirement. The below screenshot shows lot size of 100 and margin requirement of 20% for Crude Oil Futures:

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